It's a number people argue about
Ask researchers, founders, and Twitter for “probability AI causes existential catastrophe” and you'll get anything from <1% to >90%. The spread is the discourse.
live from the timelines · not financial advice · not doom advice
what's your p(doom)?
p(doom) is the probability that AI causes a catastrophic outcome for humanity — extinction-adjacent, civilization-wrecking, “oops we built the wrong god” vibes. Serious people argue about the number. The rest of us turn it into memes. This site is the latter, with respect for the former.
your vibe check
tap to resample · ~Bayesian roulette
Featured
one piece of media. chef's kiss of crisis.
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recent p(doom) media
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Primer
WTF is p(doom), briefly
It's also a meme
“What's your p(doom)?” is the new “what's your sign?” — except the answer can ruin dinner. We collect the art, posts, and chaos so you don't have to doomscroll alone.
It's related to real work
Benchmarks, research hubs, and games explore the same question with fewer shitposts. See the related projects below if you want the serious shelf.